Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (90-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 34 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 4 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| C. Smith | 30 | 7-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Shields | 19 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| M. Snow | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Hodges | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Byears | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Moore | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Bass | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Snell | 36 | 6-15 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 14-15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 26 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 33 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Miller | 30 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Lacy | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter