Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders +7 (47-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.