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2007-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 48.8% 51.2% -
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% -
Margin 58.7% 41.3% -1.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 76.3% 23.7% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% -
Log Adjusted 95.6% 4.4% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Douglas-Roberts * 31 7-14 2-4 3-6 4 1 0 0 0 19 10 -
R. Dozier * 29 2-6 1-1 1-2 7 1 0 2 3 6 7 -
A. Anderson * 25 1-3 0-2 0-2 3 3 0 0 4 2 1 -
J. Dorsey * 21 4-5 0-0 5-5 7 0 2 0 0 13 17 -
W. Kemp * 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
A. Allen 26 0-3 0-2 3-4 2 3 1 0 0 3 6 -
J. Hunt 25 3-14 1-9 4-6 4 2 0 0 3 11 0 -
D. Mack 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
K. Cooper 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
P. Henderson-Niles 7 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 1 5 7 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Ofoegbu * 40 6-15 2-6 7-12 6 1 2 0 7 21 8 -
D. Willingham * 40 1-8 1-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 3 -2 -
D. Pearson * 38 6-13 3-4 1-2 9 0 1 2 1 16 14 -
J. Killen * 36 2-8 1-4 2-2 5 7 0 0 2 7 9 -
D. Rackauskas * 28 5-6 1-2 3-5 4 0 0 0 0 14 12 -
C. Spencer 12 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
P. Ritter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter