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2007-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 3.9% 96.1% -
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% -
Margin 16.7% 83.3% +8.9 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 26.3% 73.7% -
Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% -
Log Adjusted 7.6% 92.4% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +23 (73-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Doyle * 35 2-7 0-1 4-5 5 5 2 0 4 8 9 -
K. Coble * 34 7-15 1-6 0-0 3 2 3 2 0 15 10 -
A. Carson * 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 3 1 -
I. Tolic * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Ross * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Moore 29 2-8 2-8 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 6 0 -
J. Ryan 24 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Nash 15 3-5 1-1 1-1 2 0 2 0 0 8 7 -
S. Williams 14 1-7 0-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -
J. Okrzesik 11 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
J. Melchior 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
P. Houlihan 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Steger 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Teague * 33 8-15 6-10 1-1 8 1 0 1 5 23 13 -
C. Kramer * 32 2-3 0-1 5-6 4 6 1 0 3 9 14 -
C. Landry * 30 6-7 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 2 3 15 17 -
G. Watt * 17 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 2 1 1 4 5 -
K. Grant * 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 4 2 -
C. Lutz 30 4-6 3-5 3-4 4 4 0 0 1 14 15 -
M. Green 17 0-2 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
T. Crump 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 0 1 -
C. Hartley 5 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
B. Riddell 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A.J. Graft 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter