Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.9% | 28.1% | -8.2 | ✓ (31.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.6% | 15.4% | -9.4 | ✓ (30.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -40 (47-87). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Hunter * | 31 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Golden * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tron Smith * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Diamon Simpson * | 22 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Y. Smith * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Collins | 20 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Ian O'Leary | 19 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Omar Samhan | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dubois Williams | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Sholberg | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Watson * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Jamie Jones * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Darren Cooper * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. Sullivan * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Ito * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Emerson | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Averette | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Carter | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| W. Thompson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Field | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter