Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +7 (60-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frazier * | 39 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Carter * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Randle * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| R. McBride * | 30 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Brock | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Meacham | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Arnold | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Haluska * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| T. Smith * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Freeman * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Looby * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - |
| C. Tate * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Henderson | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Johnson | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Gorney | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter