Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (84-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 38 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Nolan | 37 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Johnson | 29 | 8-13 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| S. Cash | 27 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Braxton | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| P. Pierson | 24 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Powell | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Latta | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 6-22 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 32 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Miller | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Smith | 25 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 13 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Snell | 6 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Lacy | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter