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2007-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 44.8% 55.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% -
Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% -
Log Adjusted 69.3% 30.7% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gray * 35 7-8 0-0 4-5 13 4 0 5 3 18 29 -
L. Fields * 33 2-13 1-8 0-0 9 1 2 0 3 5 1 -
M. Cook * 24 4-8 1-1 4-5 3 3 1 0 1 13 11 -
A. Graves * 23 1-8 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 1 3 5 -3 -
L. Kendall * 19 3-5 1-1 2-3 1 0 2 2 0 9 9 -
R. Ramon 30 3-9 2-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 8 4 -
S. Young 22 4-10 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 11 8 -
K. Benjamin 10 1-4 0-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Biggs 4 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Barro * 37 5-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 10 12 -
L. Hayward * 28 3-10 0-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 7 2 -
D. James * 27 3-10 1-5 1-2 2 10 1 1 1 8 11 -
D. Fitzgerald * 27 0-4 0-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
W. Matthews 36 7-15 1-3 5-7 3 4 3 0 3 20 12 -
D. Cubillan 26 4-7 4-7 8-8 5 2 0 0 0 20 20 -
M. Kinsella 9 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Lott 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
D. Burke 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter