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2007-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% -
Bradley-Terry 65.6% 34.4% -
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 68.1% 31.9% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% -
Log Adjusted 78.1% 21.9% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Singletary * 37 7-19 2-3 9-12 7 2 0 0 1 25 14 -
J.R. Reynolds * 36 3-14 0-5 5-5 2 3 1 0 6 11 -3 -
M. Diane * 28 1-7 0-4 0-0 5 0 1 2 0 2 3 -
J. Cain * 27 1-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 0 4 4 2 -
T. Soroye * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
A. Joseph 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Mikalauskas 12 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
J. Tucker 11 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
W. Harris 9 3-5 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
S. Tat 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Pettinella 5 1-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Smith * 35 2-12 0-1 3-5 9 8 0 0 3 7 9 -
K. Visser * 33 4-13 0-0 9-15 10 1 0 1 1 17 15 -
M. Drum * 30 5-9 3-5 3-4 2 0 2 0 1 16 10 -
J. Skeen * 29 3-5 1-2 4-4 4 0 1 0 0 11 11 -
L.D. Williams * 27 5-9 1-2 2-6 10 4 2 0 2 13 18 -
H. Hale 20 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 8 5 -
D. Weaver 12 0-2 0-0 6-6 4 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
K. Swinton 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Dukes 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Gurley 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter