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2007-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 79.8% 20.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% -
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.4% 75.6% -
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +2 (53-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ruffin * 37 4-8 1-5 3-4 7 2 0 0 4 12 9 -
J. Crouch * 37 5-10 4-5 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 14 6 -
W. Franklin * 36 1-9 0-2 3-4 1 5 1 0 2 5 1 -
J.J. Tauai * 33 2-9 2-4 3-4 4 2 0 0 0 9 6 -
Z. Andrews * 21 3-4 0-0 3-5 7 1 1 1 1 9 14 -
M. Salley 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Adams 13 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Warren 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Singh 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins * 36 3-10 1-4 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 7 5 -
J. Tatum * 33 7-15 4-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 20 4 -
R. Falker * 31 1-5 0-0 3-6 12 1 1 3 2 5 15 -
M. Shaw * 30 4-10 1-3 2-4 5 0 0 1 1 11 6 -
T. Young * 26 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 2 1 -
T. Green 17 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
W. Clemmons 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Bone 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Boyle 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter