Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +5 (64-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.