Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Comets +10 (74-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Marta Fernandez * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Christi Thomas * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| LaToya Thomas * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Murriel Page | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sidney Spencer | 18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 40 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Crystal Smith * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tamara Moore | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Latasha Byears | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tari Phillips | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ashley Shields | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter