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2007-06-19

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% - โœ“
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky -2 (52-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Brunson 28 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 3 4 2 5 -
N. Powell 27 6-13 2-2 2-2 5 1 0 1 1 16 9 -
C. Newton 23 0-6 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 1 1 3 0 -
K. Lawson 22 9-16 1-6 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 19 9 -
Y. Griffith 21 2-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 2 0 2 4 4 -
T. Penicheiro 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 0 2 9 -
A. Williams-Strong 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 4 4 -
S. Dorrell 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 0 0 -
K. Haynie 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 2 1 -
L. Atkinson 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 2 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree 38 8-16 0-0 5-5 14 0 0 1 1 21 19 -
D. Canty 30 0-7 0-0 4-4 1 7 0 0 3 4 2 -
C. Melvin 26 2-5 0-0 0-2 6 0 3 2 5 4 5 -
A. Herrington 25 3-7 0-0 4-9 3 1 1 0 4 10 4 -
S. Dales 20 1-6 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Wyckoff 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 2 2 2 1 3 9 -
J. Perkins 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 2 -1 -
C. Thomas 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
K. Christensen 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Raymond 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
C. Coggins 5 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -

* = starter