Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -11 (78-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| T. Smith | 34 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Miller | 34 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 22 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 9-9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| P. Taylor | 25 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Snell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 36 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 30 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 25 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T. White | 23 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| A. DeForge | 22 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| S. Sam | 10 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter