Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +3 (74-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 40 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tamara Moore * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Crystal Smith | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Barbara Turner | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Latasha Byears | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 9 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Ashley Shields | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Marta Fernandez * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| LaToya Thomas * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Christi Thomas * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Murriel Page | 22 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sidney Spencer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lisa Willis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Iciss Tillis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter