Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +28 (90-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Janell Burse * | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Katie Gearlds | 25 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Tanisha Wright | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Wendy Palmer | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tye'sha Fluker | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Whitmore * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tan White | 22 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Sheri Sam | 17 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Alison Bales | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ann Strother | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter