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2007-03-02

Model Predictions

Model James Madison Dukes George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% -
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 (8.4 off)

Actual: George Mason Patriots +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Curtis 40 6-11 2-4 2-4 3 6 1 1 2 16 14 -
J. James 39 4-9 0-0 3-6 2 2 1 1 1 11 7 -
K. Swanston 32 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
J. Posey 32 5-10 5-10 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 15 11 -
T. Carter 22 3-9 0-2 2-4 3 1 0 0 3 8 0 -
G. Chami 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
M. Parker 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Hilton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Campbell 38 2-10 2-8 4-6 3 8 1 0 2 10 10 -
D. Smith 37 8-11 7-8 3-4 5 2 0 0 1 26 21 -
W. Thomas 37 5-6 0-0 4-8 5 2 0 0 0 14 15 -
J. Carter 24 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 5 1 0 3 1 6 -
D. Monroe 21 3-5 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
L. Birdsong 19 5-9 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 3 1 11 12 -
G. Norwood 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
T. Burns 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Vaughan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Fleming 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter