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2007-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 21.3% 78.7% -
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% -
Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.4% 22.6% -
Log Adjusted 78.0% 22.0% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers -9 (55-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McAndrew 39 4-11 3-6 5-6 5 2 0 0 4 16 8 -
D. Huffman 38 5-8 5-8 6-6 3 3 0 1 2 21 18 -
M. Becker 35 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 2 5 -
C. Skrelja 26 1-2 0-1 3-4 2 2 1 0 1 5 7 -
M. MacDonald 16 2-3 0-0 3-5 0 1 1 1 1 7 6 -
M. Mullery 15 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 8 9 -
S. Friske 12 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
S. Gruber 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Aldridge 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Manhanga 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Schroeder 40 5-9 2-4 1-3 0 1 3 0 2 13 6 -
L. Gunn 36 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 5 3 -
K. Koncz 26 0-3 0-3 0-1 3 3 1 1 0 0 5 -
Z. Finley 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 6 4 -
L. Owings 22 6-8 4-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 16 11 -
K. Steuerer 21 1-4 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 3 1 -
N. Savage 12 1-3 0-2 6-6 1 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
P. Buczak 10 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Conway 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
M. Strittmatter 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter