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2007-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 16.8% 83.2% -
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% -
Margin 56.2% 43.8% -1.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% -
Log Adjusted 37.8% 62.2% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +3 (51-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McKowen * 40 2-7 1-4 1-2 5 3 2 0 2 6 7 -
G. Stout * 39 7-13 3-5 2-2 9 2 0 3 2 19 18 -
J. Josten * 33 3-5 1-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 9 8 -
E. Coleman * 27 3-9 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 3 8 3 -
K. Ahelegbe * 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 1 -
T. Brown 35 1-4 0-2 1-1 4 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
A. Koch 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Viet 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crouch * 38 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 8 8 -
W. Franklin * 34 4-14 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 12 0 -
J.J. Tauai * 32 7-12 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 16 6 -
D. Ruffin * 29 3-8 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 4 9 1 -
Z. Andrews * 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
M. Salley 22 0-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
D. Adams 22 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
A. Warren 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter