Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -5 (74-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 39 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| S. Cash | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Ford | 34 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| D. Nolan | 32 | 4-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| P. Pierson | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| K. Braxton | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | - |
| S. Johnson | 15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 34 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| N. Sales | 34 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Jones | 34 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| L. Whalen | 27 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| M. Dydek | 26 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. de Souza | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Carey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Willingham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter