Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 7-15 | 5-12 | 7-9 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 28 | - |
| P. Taylor | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 34 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 1 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Miller | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Snell | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| C. Newton | 29 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| K. Lawson | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 24 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Powell | 19 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 16 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Haynie | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter