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2007-06-08

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.0% 38.0% - โœ“
Margin 61.0% 39.0% -2.5 โœ“ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty -10 (57-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 34 7-15 3-5 0-0 3 4 2 1 0 17 12 -
C. Ford 32 4-7 0-0 3-4 11 3 4 2 5 11 19 -
K. Smith 31 0-7 0-5 3-3 5 4 1 1 0 3 7 -
S. Cash 26 6-8 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 1 2 14 13 -
P. Pierson 26 5-9 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 4 4 13 8 -
S. Johnson 12 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Braxton 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 3 4 2 -
K. Feenstra 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Latta 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
E. Powell 2 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
A. Sanders 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kraayeveld 35 5-14 3-6 0-0 7 1 3 0 3 13 7 -
S. Christon 33 7-12 0-2 4-5 3 0 0 0 3 18 6 -
E. Thorn 30 3-9 2-6 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 8 4 -
L. Moore 24 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 6 0 0 5 3 0 -
J. Davenport 22 3-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 0 8 6 -
A. Battle 19 1-9 0-2 1-2 8 2 1 0 1 3 4 -
B. Farris 12 1-6 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
T. Jackson-Jones 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. McCarville 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter