Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (85-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 38 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| K. Mann | 35 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| S. Augustus | 35 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 11 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 30 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 29 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Ress | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Quinn | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Stansbury | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Murphy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 36 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. Smith | 35 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 34 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| K. Miller | 28 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Snell | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| O. Scott | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter