Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +1 (83-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 8-22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| T. Smith | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| P. Taylor | 30 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| K. Miller | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Moore | 37 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 36 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| E. Thorn | 33 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| S. Christon | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Battle | 17 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Davenport | 15 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Farris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. McCarville | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Baker | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter