Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mills * | 37 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| P. Stovall * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Newell * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Rollin * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Redden * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Horton | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Ames | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Peyton | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Cook | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Howell * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Ingram * | 33 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| K. Payne * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| F. Valencia * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Kent | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Amos | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Young | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Ross | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter