Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | +20.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +10 (78-68). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Long | 32 | 4-17 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Ricky Hood | 31 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Keddric Mays | 29 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Watts | 24 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Khalil Hartwell | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Bridgewaters | 19 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Nicchaeus Doaks | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Matt Gwynne | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Bernard Lowndes | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nathan England | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Ferrell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richards | 37 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Stephen Curry | 36 | 6-16 | 3-11 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Boris Meno | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Thomas Sander | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Max Paulhus Gosselin | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Lovedale | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Will Archambault | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Bryant Barr | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Steve Rossiter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter