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2007-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Belmont Bruins Spread Result
Elo 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Margin 4.0% 96.0% +17.4 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.1% 97.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“

Actual: Belmont Bruins +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Siddle 36 4-15 0-3 0-0 3 6 0 0 2 8 0 -
C. Gash 32 5-10 2-4 0-1 7 2 1 0 3 12 9 -
T. Sanders 29 4-13 1-1 3-6 12 3 0 0 2 12 12 -
R. McPhee 22 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
G. Flittner 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 5 3 -1 -
J. Sims 21 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 5 -
M. French 18 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 4 6 -
J. Wheeler 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Graham 6 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
B. Jackson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wicke 35 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 1 4 0 4 10 8 -
J. Hare 27 4-7 3-4 3-5 1 3 1 0 1 14 11 -
M. Dotson 24 5-9 3-5 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 13 7 -
A. Preston 22 4-4 0-0 4-9 11 4 0 2 1 12 24 -
J. Goodwin 22 3-5 3-5 2-2 0 2 2 0 0 11 10 -
H. Harris 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 1 -
S. Dansby 17 2-4 0-2 1-1 6 2 2 1 0 5 12 -
B. Herndon 13 3-5 0-0 3-5 2 1 0 1 2 9 6 -
W. Peeples 13 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
K. Belcher 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. House 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Dejworek 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Player #32158 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter