Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (76-67). Ratings: 2007 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 29 | 8-21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Olympia Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nykesha Sales * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 33 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Erika de Souza | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kamesha Hairston | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Megan Mahoney | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter