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Phoenix Mercury 67
@
Connecticut Sun 76
2007-06-02

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 74.9% 25.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% - ✗
Margin 47.5% 52.5% +0.5 ✓ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - ✓

Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 35 4-11 2-7 3-3 6 2 0 0 1 13 9 -
C. Pondexter 30 6-14 1-4 1-4 2 2 1 0 0 14 5 -
T. Smith 29 8-21 1-3 1-2 8 1 1 0 1 18 6 -
K. Miller 28 2-4 0-2 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 4 8 -
P. Taylor 28 1-7 0-2 3-4 11 2 1 0 4 5 8 -
K. Mazzante 14 2-3 2-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 8 4 -
K. Schumacher 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
J. Derevjanik 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
J. Lacy 2 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
O. Scott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Sales 35 7-14 1-4 3-3 7 4 0 1 3 18 13 -
K. Douglas 33 8-18 1-7 1-2 9 5 2 1 1 18 16 -
A. Jones 32 10-15 0-0 4-5 7 4 1 2 2 24 21 -
L. Whalen 28 3-9 0-4 2-4 6 6 2 0 2 8 11 -
K. Rasmussen 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Willingham 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 0 6 -
E. de Souza 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 4 3 -
J. Carey 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Hairston 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
M. Mahoney 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter