Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | -4.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets -6 (71-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 37 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D. Nolan | 34 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| C. Ford | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| S. Cash | 21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Braxton | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| P. Pierson | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| S. Johnson | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Snow | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| T. Moore | 24 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Thompson | 20 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| R. Hodges | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Turner | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Shields | 12 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Byears | 6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter