Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -4 (76-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bell | 38 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 14 | - |
| D. Bates | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Johnson | 27 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| H. Thomsen | 25 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C. Soto | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. Jim-George | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Ennis | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Creppy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Juillerat | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 31 | - |
| R. Marentez | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 28 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 12 | - |
| C. Portz | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| V. Oliver | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Calegari | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Hanson | 14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Carter | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Ellis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter