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2007-03-01

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% -7.6 โœ— (14.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 67.2% 32.8% - โœ—
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 โœ— (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 81.4% 18.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 81.4% 18.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% - โœ—

Actual: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +7 (84-77). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Hansbrough * 33 4-6 0-0 8-12 10 1 2 1 1 16 23 -
Brandan Wright * 32 8-10 0-0 6-9 5 0 1 1 1 22 18 -
Wayne Ellington * 31 5-12 2-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 14 6 -
R. Terry * 17 1-3 0-1 5-8 3 1 0 1 3 7 6 -
B. Frasor * 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Ty Lawson 25 2-6 0-2 2-2 2 8 1 0 3 6 8 -
M. Ginyard 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
Danny Green 12 2-4 0-2 0-1 0 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
Deon Thompson 8 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Q. Thomas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
W. Miller 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Alex Stepheson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crittenton * 34 4-12 0-3 5-8 3 11 2 0 5 13 12 -
Thaddeus Young * 27 10-18 5-6 0-0 4 1 3 0 2 25 13 -
Anthony Morrow * 27 6-12 4-10 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 18 7 -
R. Dickey * 25 4-5 0-0 1-3 6 2 1 1 1 9 13 -
Jeremis Smith * 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 0 2 11 -
Zachery Peacock 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 8 9 -
D'Andre Bell 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
Alade Aminu 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
Mario West 11 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
Mouhammad Faye 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter