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2007-03-01

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Spread Result
Elo 73.6% 26.4% -
Bradley-Terry 65.4% 34.6% -
Margin 66.8% 33.2% -3.8 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.6% 40.4% -
Efficiency 84.7% 15.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Log Adjusted 90.4% 9.6% -

Actual: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +7 (84-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough * 33 4-6 0-0 8-12 10 1 2 1 1 16 23 -
B. Wright * 32 8-10 0-0 6-9 5 0 1 1 1 22 18 -
W. Ellington * 31 5-12 2-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 14 6 -
R. Terry * 17 1-3 0-1 5-8 3 1 0 1 3 7 6 -
B. Frasor * 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
T. Lawson 25 2-6 0-2 2-2 2 8 1 0 3 6 8 -
M. Ginyard 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
D. Green 12 2-4 0-2 0-1 0 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
D. Thompson 8 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Q. Thomas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
W. Miller 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Stepheson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crittenton * 34 4-12 0-3 5-8 3 11 2 0 5 13 12 -
T. Young * 27 10-18 5-6 0-0 4 1 3 0 2 25 13 -
A. Morrow * 27 6-12 4-10 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 18 7 -
R. Dickey * 25 4-5 0-0 1-3 6 2 1 1 1 9 13 -
J. Smith * 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 0 2 11 -
Z. Peacock 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 8 9 -
D. Bell 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
A. Aminu 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
M. West 11 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
M. Faye 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter