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2007-02-28

Model Predictions

Model UAB Blazers Southern Miss Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“
Margin 41.5% 58.5% +1.9 โœ“ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“

Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UAB Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Mukubu * 38 10-18 1-1 5-5 7 1 0 0 4 26 12 -
P. Delaney III * 36 5-15 0-1 6-6 7 2 1 0 3 16 8 -
L. Kinnard * 33 2-4 0-1 3-4 8 2 2 2 1 7 16 -
M. Gibbs * 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
F. Holmes * 16 1-2 0-0 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
J. Mayfield 21 3-6 0-1 1-4 4 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
M. Davis Jr. 20 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
H. Crawford 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
T. Dortch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Beasley * 37 5-9 2-3 0-2 8 0 2 0 0 12 13 -
S. Stone * 36 0-7 0-0 7-8 3 3 2 0 0 7 8 -
J. Hill * 35 7-14 3-7 5-7 1 1 0 0 3 22 7 -
G. Bain * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 0 5 -
J. Wise 28 4-10 3-3 7-8 1 2 1 0 3 18 9 -
C. Craft 18 5-8 1-2 2-3 5 0 1 0 1 13 10 -
D. Green 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
A. Stephens 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Dotson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter