Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✗ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 45 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| R. McKiver | 45 | 6-19 | 5-14 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| O. Lafayette | 42 | 5-17 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J. Thorpe | 42 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. Dowell | 35 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| N. Mosley | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Toney | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Malone | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Lee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Peppers | 40 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. O'Donnell | 36 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Taylor | 36 | 8-12 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| D. Noel | 35 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| L. Payne | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 4 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Cartwright | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - |
| T. Davis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Battle | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Billings | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Loucks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter