Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -2 (83-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Adams * | 35 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Kruger * | 35 | 8-11 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 35 | - |
| W. White * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Umeh * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| G. Essengue * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Terry | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Darger | 9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Anthony | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Shaw | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Bailey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Danridge * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Prentice * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Toppert * | 29 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| K. Walter * | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J.R. Giddens | 28 | 12-19 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| R. Kersten | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Smith | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Martinez | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Faris | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Henfield | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter