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2007-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 18.2% 81.8% +8.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.3% 77.7% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Smith * 35 5-16 0-3 4-6 4 5 3 0 1 14 9 -
J. Skeen * 24 4-14 0-5 3-5 14 1 0 0 1 11 11 -
L.D. Williams * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
H. Hale * 18 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
K. Visser * 12 2-6 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
M. Drum 25 4-7 3-3 2-2 4 1 2 0 2 13 11 -
A. Gurley 22 4-10 1-6 1-3 3 0 1 0 2 10 2 -
K. Swinton 17 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
D. Weaver 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
C. Stanley 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Dukes 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Atsur * 30 3-7 1-5 1-3 6 2 0 0 2 8 7 -
B. McCauley * 25 7-11 0-0 3-6 7 2 0 2 2 17 15 -
B. Nieman * 25 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 4 -
J. Clark * 22 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 6 9 -
B. Albritton * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Grant 39 5-12 0-2 3-4 8 4 2 3 3 13 15 -
B. Costner 32 4-7 1-4 10-11 5 4 1 0 4 19 18 -
C. Fells 22 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 2 4 7 4 -
D. Horner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Pittman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Ferguson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter