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2007-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 โœ— (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Vasquez * 37 5-8 2-5 1-2 9 12 1 1 4 13 24 -
J. Gist * 34 3-7 0-1 3-4 7 2 1 3 1 9 14 -
D.J. Strawberry * 33 8-15 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 17 6 -
M. Jones * 32 9-15 4-5 3-5 6 4 0 0 1 25 19 -
E. Ibekwe * 27 7-13 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 2 1 17 11 -
E. Hayes 18 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 3 0 0 3 2 1 -
B. Osby 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 2 2 7 -
W. Bowers 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
D. Neal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McRoberts * 39 5-13 0-1 0-0 8 2 2 3 3 10 9 -
J. Scheyer * 35 3-9 1-5 3-3 5 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
G. Paulus * 32 8-15 4-8 0-1 0 2 0 0 0 20 7 -
D. Nelson * 32 6-15 3-5 2-2 7 2 2 1 4 17 10 -
D. McClure * 21 0-3 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 0 2 7 -
G. Henderson 21 6-13 1-3 2-3 3 0 1 0 2 15 4 -
B. Zoubek 11 1-1 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
L. Thomas 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Pocius 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Pagliuca 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter