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2007-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 49.6% 50.4% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 17.0% 83.0% -
Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% -
Log Adjusted 1.9% 98.1% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +9 (91-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Roby * 35 5-16 0-5 3-6 5 4 0 0 1 13 5 -
X. Silas * 32 4-10 3-6 4-4 4 2 2 0 2 15 11 -
D. Coleman * 30 8-12 2-3 1-2 9 1 2 1 5 19 15 -
M. King-Stockton * 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
K. Bay 27 3-8 3-8 0-0 0 4 0 0 3 9 2 -
J. Williams 21 6-11 0-0 3-5 4 2 0 0 0 15 10 -
J. Jackson-Wilson 14 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 1 7 9 -
D. Thorne II 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
S. Kowal 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Van Burck 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hannah * 27 3-12 2-6 4-4 5 7 1 0 3 12 10 -
M. Watkins * 26 5-10 1-2 4-4 6 1 2 0 1 15 13 -
M. Lawrence * 21 6-9 5-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 17 8 -
M. Brown * 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 3 7 -
K. Grimes * 15 1-2 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 3 2 5 8 -
K. Lawrence 27 5-9 2-5 1-2 2 6 0 1 3 13 10 -
J. Horton 25 2-3 2-3 0-1 4 5 0 0 0 6 12 -
L. Lyons 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 6 7 -
J.T. Tiller 13 1-6 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
V. Volkus 11 1-2 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 5 8 -
G. Dandridge 4 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
D. Butterfield 1 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter