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2007-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% -
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% -
Margin 11.0% 89.0% +11.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.8% 80.2% -
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gaines * 40 5-15 2-8 1-5 5 7 2 0 0 13 12 -
S. Newman * 39 7-13 3-7 0-0 2 3 1 2 2 17 10 -
T. Woodbury * 35 7-14 4-9 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 18 8 -
T. Brown * 33 5-7 0-0 2-4 6 1 2 0 5 12 9 -
B. Humphrey * 30 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 1 -
C. Butler 15 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 5 6 -
R. Singleton 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bradley * 29 5-7 4-5 4-4 6 5 1 0 3 18 20 -
B. Perry * 28 8-12 4-7 2-3 5 0 1 0 0 22 16 -
L. Obrzut * 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
S. Thomas * 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
D. Jasper * 14 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 5 0 0 1 3 5 -
J. Crawford 20 2-5 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Meeks 19 4-7 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 11 2 -
R. Morris 17 7-9 0-0 3-3 4 1 1 2 1 17 15 -
M. Porter 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 5 2 1 -
P. Stevenson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
R. Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter