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2007-02-28

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 17.0% 83.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% -
Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% -
Log Adjusted 58.0% 42.0% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell * 38 10-20 2-4 2-3 7 2 0 1 1 24 13 -
G. Temple * 38 4-7 2-4 3-3 6 4 0 1 2 13 15 -
D. Lazare * 35 3-8 0-0 2-7 8 1 1 0 4 8 6 -
T. Martin * 34 3-7 2-5 0-0 6 2 2 0 4 8 7 -
M. Rolle * 21 4-6 0-0 1-1 1 0 2 3 1 9 8 -
D. Mason 21 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
B. Voogd 10 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
C. Johnson 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson * 35 2-6 1-2 1-1 5 2 2 0 2 6 7 -
K. Barber * 31 6-11 0-0 2-7 8 3 0 1 1 14 14 -
D. Reed * 31 2-3 1-1 7-10 0 6 2 0 2 12 15 -
J. Dollard * 25 6-11 1-3 3-5 6 1 2 0 0 16 14 -
F. Tolbert * 19 3-6 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 5 -
R. Barrett 24 3-7 2-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 8 5 -
Q. Prowell 23 4-8 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
K. Lewis 7 1-2 0-1 3-3 0 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
A. Miaway 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter