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2007-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.7% 17.3% -
Log Adjusted 82.8% 17.2% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Green * 37 2-11 2-9 3-4 2 3 2 0 5 9 0 -
L. Humphrey * 32 3-8 3-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 9 2 -
A. Horford * 32 6-10 0-0 5-7 10 2 0 4 3 17 20 -
C. Brewer * 31 6-12 0-3 0-0 5 5 5 0 7 12 8 -
J. Noah * 25 3-4 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 1 3 8 14 -
C. Richard 20 4-6 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 1 12 10 -
W. Hodge 16 2-4 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
D. Werner 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Speights 2 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Swanson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mitchell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton * 31 7-12 2-5 5-10 0 4 1 0 1 21 13 -
R. Smith * 30 3-8 0-1 4-4 2 2 1 0 4 10 3 -
D. Bradshaw * 26 3-3 1-1 3-4 6 5 2 0 2 10 18 -
J. Smith * 25 6-11 2-6 2-4 3 0 1 0 1 16 8 -
W. Chism * 14 3-3 1-1 2-3 2 0 0 1 1 9 8 -
D. Crews 22 2-4 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 2 0 8 10 -
J. Tabb 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 2 6 -
R. Childress 18 3-3 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
J. Howell 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 3 2 -
R. Daniels-Mulholland 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Q. Cannington 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Wild 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Bosse 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter