Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +12 (89-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Birden | 33 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| W. Figures | 27 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. Lowe | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Archibeque | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| S. Taibi | 20 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Kline | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Mason | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Moore | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Kaba | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sir | 36 | 6-16 | 4-13 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - |
| T. Bazy | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Wilson | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| K. Landry | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Green | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Geiser | 5 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Gabriel | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Larson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter