Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.6% | 1.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.2% | 8.8% | -12.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Plaisted * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Ainge * | 31 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Young * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Balderson * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Cummard * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Rose | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Burgess | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Murdock | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nwaelele * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| T. Anderson * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Burtschi * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| M. McCraw * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Welch * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Frye | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Teets | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter