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2007-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (7.8 off)

Actual: Idaho State Bengals +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ball 33 4-12 1-9 2-3 4 3 1 1 5 11 3 -
T. Morris 30 6-8 0-0 1-3 9 2 0 3 2 13 17 -
C. Durham 29 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
C. Durr 26 2-8 2-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 6 1 -
C. Taylor 26 5-11 1-5 2-2 4 1 2 0 1 13 8 -
B. Johnson 17 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
M. Davis 17 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
J. Malloy 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
E. Rush 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Zamora 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
D. Piepoli 3 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
T. Derochowski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Schroeder 39 6-16 3-9 5-6 3 0 1 0 0 20 8 -
M. Stucki 35 4-7 1-2 5-5 6 1 2 0 0 14 16 -
N. Rhodes 34 3-7 0-0 3-4 11 2 2 0 1 9 16 -
A. Abdul-Ahad 29 3-10 0-5 3-4 2 0 0 0 3 9 -2 -
L. Kinghorn 26 2-5 0-2 2-2 7 1 2 0 2 6 9 -
A. Morgan 15 0-3 0-0 0-2 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Ofoegbu 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 2 1 -
A. Kilpatrick 9 1-2 1-2 4-4 4 0 1 1 1 7 10 -
D. Monroe 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter