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2007-02-27

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 77.8% 22.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 34.8% 65.2% +3.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% -
Log Adjusted 73.6% 26.4% -

Actual: Utah Utes +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. LeSure * 39 8-19 3-9 0-0 5 3 3 1 2 19 10 -
M. Abukar * 38 9-17 1-2 5-6 10 0 1 1 2 24 17 -
R. Williams * 33 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 7 0 0 2 8 11 -
L. Wade * 32 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 3 3 0 7 5 0 -
J. Habel * 29 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 8 5 -
K. Spain 21 2-3 0-1 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
C. Lamb 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bryant * 34 4-11 0-5 0-0 4 7 0 0 3 8 5 -
R. Johns * 33 11-13 6-7 2-3 4 1 0 0 3 30 19 -
L. Nevill * 32 7-9 0-0 2-3 11 2 1 2 1 16 22 -
S. Green * 28 2-4 0-2 1-2 4 2 1 1 1 5 8 -
L. Borha * 21 3-7 0-1 1-1 2 2 0 0 5 7 -1 -
D. Deane 18 0-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 1 4 -
S. Weigh 18 1-3 0-0 3-6 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
L. Drca 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Eatmon 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Foster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter