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2007-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% -
Bradley-Terry 84.7% 15.3% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -42.1 (45.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% -
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Watson * 35 10-17 3-8 4-4 5 0 3 0 4 27 14 -
T. Ito * 34 2-7 0-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 3 6 4 -
D. Cooper * 33 2-11 0-4 4-4 3 0 2 0 1 8 1 -
B. Sullivan * 32 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 0 2 3 9 -
J. Jones * 25 4-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 3 10 12 -
B. Averette 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
P. Emerson 16 3-7 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 9 3 -
K. Field 7 0-1 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Niedermeyer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wiggins Jr. * 37 4-13 0-0 6-6 14 4 1 2 2 14 20 -
J. Dukes * 32 6-11 1-2 0-1 7 0 0 1 3 13 7 -
A. Kellogg * 31 4-12 3-9 2-3 2 5 5 0 2 13 11 -
D. Cavic * 26 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
M. Quezada * 24 3-8 3-8 5-6 1 6 0 0 4 14 9 -
J. Watkins 27 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
C. Hernandez 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Byrd 8 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Morgan 3 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter