Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones | 35 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| D. White | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Moore | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 21 | - |
| S. Norwood | 28 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Matthews | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| St. Paul Latham | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Bell | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Brown | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Wilkerson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Frazier | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hayles | 36 | 11-15 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 20 | - |
| D. Richmond | 32 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| R. Lott Jr. | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - |
| M. Edun | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Bosh | 28 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| T. Moorer | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Jackson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Porchea | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Howard | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter