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2007-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Western Michigan Broncos Spread Result
Elo 78.1% 21.9% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 (4.9 off)
Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Western Michigan Broncos -4 (75-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Howell * 39 9-21 2-6 1-2 6 1 2 0 0 21 9 -
J. Ingram * 39 2-13 0-9 4-6 8 6 3 0 1 8 11 -
K. Payne * 36 3-9 1-3 0-2 1 7 2 0 1 7 7 -
F. Valencia * 31 10-14 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 2 20 7 -
R. Johnson * 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Amos 21 6-10 0-0 0-3 5 1 4 0 3 12 9 -
T. Kent 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Young 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 4 -
S. Ross 9 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 4 -

Western Michigan Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kool * 39 5-9 0-2 4-5 7 0 1 0 3 14 10 -
S. Gary * 37 5-9 1-1 5-7 5 0 2 1 6 16 9 -
M. Redell * 33 3-8 2-4 0-0 3 6 0 0 8 8 1 -
J. Reitz * 31 6-9 0-0 6-11 8 0 0 0 3 18 14 -
D. Drews * 26 2-5 2-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
D. Fracalossi 21 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 5 6 -
A. Ricks 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
D. Lawson 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
M. McLemore 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter