Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Saint Peter's Peacocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | -4.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Peter's Peacocks -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Van Schaick | 40 | 7-18 | 5-12 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - |
| J. Han | 40 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 | - |
| H. Allen | 36 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Johnson | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. Diakhate | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| G. Nero | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. O'Sullivan | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Middleton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Buchbinder | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Peter's Peacocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Spann | 37 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. Orta | 37 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Gooding | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Sowell | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | - |
| T. Spitler | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Brock | 20 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Reeves | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Onibudo | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter