Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.3% | 17.7% | -8.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm -17 (50-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Paulus * | 37 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| D. Nelson * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Scheyer * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. McClure * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Henderson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Thomas | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Pocius | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Davidson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Pagliuca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lawrence * | 39 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Patterson * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| L. Hamilton * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A. Mason Jr. * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Q. Calhoun | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Wright | 23 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| A. Spears | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| T. Jasiulionis | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter