Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers -14 (57-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.